Block O
URBAN OHIO ERA BEGINS
Or them not to cross the 50...I don't think we'll ever see an SEC vs. SEC or any other same conference vs. same conference in a MNC game again unless we go to a +1 system. The ratings were in the tank!!!!
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Game Day: SEC Championship, Part Deux--uh, excuse me, uh, BCS CHAMPIONSHIP '12
- Thread starter DRU2012
- Start date
The BCS committee should have learned from MLB's Subway Series between the Mets and Yankees. Ratings were guaranteed to take at least a slight dip. This year the BCS rating problem was exacerbated by "the Revenge Factor" (the team that lost in regular season wins against the Vegas spread an astonishing 60% in the rematch if a title is on the line), the weaker scheduling with Alabama opponents, under performance by other potential BCS teams in crunch time and the sheer misfortune of matching the #1 and #2 defenses against #30 and #74 offenses. The selection committee had no choice, really.
Rewinding to 2006, if the BCS committee would have selected Michigan and Ohio State, it would have pitted #29 and #37 offense against Ohio State's defense and Michigan's defense. Thrown in the Vegas Revenge Factor, and Michigan would have blown out and Michigan would have beaten Ohio State 41 - 14, not Florida. This is just what happens historically and statistically. Then again, the 2011 BCS committee has done the right thing increasingly over the years with lessening the impact of the human vote. Human voting would probably have chosen LSU and Oklahoma State in 2011-2012, just as the human vote forced Michigan out of the 2006-2007 game. They "learned their lesson" in that regard, but there are not enough rules and BCS computer formulas to make this fair to EVERYONE. Statistically, the best matchup this year would have been Stanford and Alabama, but there is no "vehicle" in the system that would have allowed that. If that happened AND LSU played Oregon, then we would have another mess if Alabama lost to Stanford and Oregon won the rematch with LSU (again, statistically they would win the rematch). The end result here is that because then #2 Alabama lost to then #1 LSU, AND then #3 Oklahoma State lost to unranked Iowa State AND Stanford lost to Oregon AND #2 Oregon lost to #1 LSU, THIS was the cleanest matchup possible.
Solution: next year, subject the teams to additional physical punishment by making the top 4 teams play round robin, OR do plus one and pray for clean head to head to head to head results... and that still is not fair because it would put focus only on the top eight or four teams and kill ratings for the other 20 teams that want a piece of the bowl revenues. The NFL is the only organization that can afford to finance a full playoff system in college, since college is like a developmental league. Now, would the NFL pony up money to destroy college football tradition, knowing it would be creating competition against NFL playoffs in December AND alienating the other 100 universities that are not in the college playoffs?
Solution: next year, subject the teams to additional physical punishment by making the top 4 teams play round robin, OR do plus one and pray for clean head to head to head to head results... and that still is not fair because it would put focus only on the top eight or four teams and kill ratings for the other 20 teams that want a piece of the bowl revenues. The NFL is the only organization that can afford to finance a full playoff system in college, since college is like a developmental league. Now, would the NFL pony up money to destroy college football tradition, knowing it would be creating competition against NFL playoffs in December AND alienating the other 100 universities that are not in the college playoffs?
Each situation is in fact different--the statistical parallels, in this case, I believe are mainly coincidental--except for the simple fact that each time the eventual winner of the 2nd meeting/Championship Game played their rival close in the first meeting, and benefitted by experience and familiarity in the second game. However, that rival had equal opportunity to take advantage of the same set of circumstances, and apparently failed to rise to the occasion. It's a rather small sample to draw any hard conclusions regarding "covert underlying trends", don't you think?
As for this latest stab at SOME version of a "pseudo-play-off system", whether called a "1-4/2-3 semifinal leading to a Championship Final", or doing the same thing, moving it around among the Bowls and calling the eventual Final a "Plus One Format" is mainly just a silly bit of semantical obfuscation. There will ALWAYS be some argument at the low-end dividing-line no matter HOW MANY teams are involved; at least we get something CLOSER to a proper Championship this way, something that eliminates a good deal of the chance for injustice in the case of a 3rd and/or 4th great team being "left out", but still preserves their precious (in terms of tradition AND commerce) Bowl-system intact without damaging "the sanctity of the regular season games' importance" (which I agree is unique and central to College Football's place in American sports and the hearts of its fans). Any attempt to accomplish one without upsetting the delicate balance in the other was ALWAYS going to be a compromise--and this one makes a certain amount of sense.
(Frankly, while I have long been a proponent of SOME kind of end-of-season semifinal/final set-up, I have also always had great suspicion at what any sort of large, complex approach presided over by the NCAA and some kind of power-brokered deal-in-committee type-of-approach might yield--that'd just end up the result of so many back-room compromises and favors-called-in as to be a completely entangled mess we'd NEVER get rid of...if they're going to do it at all, best to "keep it simple, stupid", you know?--and this "4-team"/"plus one" approach that adds either one or (at most) two games, depending on how they set it up, to the bowl system seems the best way to "K.I.S.S.".)
As for this latest stab at SOME version of a "pseudo-play-off system", whether called a "1-4/2-3 semifinal leading to a Championship Final", or doing the same thing, moving it around among the Bowls and calling the eventual Final a "Plus One Format" is mainly just a silly bit of semantical obfuscation. There will ALWAYS be some argument at the low-end dividing-line no matter HOW MANY teams are involved; at least we get something CLOSER to a proper Championship this way, something that eliminates a good deal of the chance for injustice in the case of a 3rd and/or 4th great team being "left out", but still preserves their precious (in terms of tradition AND commerce) Bowl-system intact without damaging "the sanctity of the regular season games' importance" (which I agree is unique and central to College Football's place in American sports and the hearts of its fans). Any attempt to accomplish one without upsetting the delicate balance in the other was ALWAYS going to be a compromise--and this one makes a certain amount of sense.
(Frankly, while I have long been a proponent of SOME kind of end-of-season semifinal/final set-up, I have also always had great suspicion at what any sort of large, complex approach presided over by the NCAA and some kind of power-brokered deal-in-committee type-of-approach might yield--that'd just end up the result of so many back-room compromises and favors-called-in as to be a completely entangled mess we'd NEVER get rid of...if they're going to do it at all, best to "keep it simple, stupid", you know?--and this "4-team"/"plus one" approach that adds either one or (at most) two games, depending on how they set it up, to the bowl system seems the best way to "K.I.S.S.".)
