The #7 Florida Gators (8-3) return to the Lonestar State to take on the #6 Oklahoma Sooners (8-2) on Wednesday, December 30th at 8:00 PM Eastern Time/ 7:00 Central Time. The Gators and Sooners have only played each other once before, which was a 24-14 victory for the Gators on their way to a BCS National Championship. The Gators are favored by 3 and the O/U is at 71.5.
The Gators will be without All-American and All-SEC tight end Kyle Pitts, 1st team All-SEC all-purpose player Kadarius Toney, and senior wideout Tre Grimes. With most fans focusing on offense, it can be hard to imagine that this Oklahoma team is entering this game with a top-15 defense while Florida has a bottom-50 defense.
Offense:
Key players to watch (1st team all conference noted with "**", 2nd team all conference noted with "*", national award winners noted with "***"):
Florida's season to this point:
Oklahoma's season to this point:
Based on conference-only performance these teams are hard to predict, but the model predicts the following output:
The Gators will be without All-American and All-SEC tight end Kyle Pitts, 1st team All-SEC all-purpose player Kadarius Toney, and senior wideout Tre Grimes. With most fans focusing on offense, it can be hard to imagine that this Oklahoma team is entering this game with a top-15 defense while Florida has a bottom-50 defense.
Offense:
- Florida
- #9 total offense/ #5 offensive efficiency (184.43) / #11 scoring (41.6 PPG) (756 plays, 5597 YD, 7.4 YPP, 56 TD, 508.8 YPG)
- #110 rushing 4.04 YPC, 120.5 YPG, 11 TD
- #1 passing 4272 YD, 9.98 YPA, 14.43 YPC, 45 TD, 7 INT, 388.4 YPG
- Oklahoma
- #18 total offense/ #32 offensive efficiency (171.29) / #9 scoring (41.8 PPG) (716 plays, 4758 YD, 6.65 YPP, 51 TD, 475.8 YPG)
- #75 rushing 4.07 YPC, 154.2 YPG, 24 TD
- #11 passing 3216 YD, 9.54 YPA, 13.74 YPC, 27 TD, 8 INT, 321.6 YPG
- Florida
- #63 total defense (782 plays, 4452 YD, 5.69 YPP, 41 TD, 404.7 YPG)
- #46 rushing defense (409 plays, 1611 YD, 3.94 YPR, 13 TD, 146.4 YPG)
- #93 passing defense (373 pass, 2841 YD, 25 TD, 7.62 YPP, 9 INT, 145.62 RAT)
- #63 scoring defense (28.64 PPG)
- Oklahoma
- #19 total defense (659 plays, 3336 YD, 5.06 YPP, 28 TD, 333.6 YPG
- #2 rushing defense (296 rush, 906 YD, 3.06 YPR, 17 TD, 90.6 YPG)
- #10 passing defense (363 pass, 2430 YD, 6.69 YPP, 11 TD, 13 INT, 114.44 RAT
- #31 scoring defense (21.9 PPG)
Key players to watch (1st team all conference noted with "**", 2nd team all conference noted with "*", national award winners noted with "***"):
- Florida
- QB 11 Kyle Trask GRSR *
- TE 84 Kyle Pitts JR ***/** [OPT OUT] --> 9 Keon Zipperer SO/ 88 Kemore Gamble RJR
- WR-Z 1 Kadarius Toney SR ** [OPT OUT] --> 3 Xzavier Henderson FR/ 6 Nay'Quan Wright RFR
- WR-Y 8 Tre Grimes TRSR [OPT OUT] --> 89 Justin Shorter TRSO
- WR-X 15 Jacob Copeland RSO [COVID] --> 80 Trent Whittemore RFR
- RB 27 Dameon Pierce JR
- RCB 5 Kaiir Elam SO **
- MIKE 51 Ventrell Miller RJR
- BUCK/ WILL 11 Mahamoud Diabate SO
- ST 1 Kadarius Toney SR ** [OPT OUT] --> 9 Keon Zipperer SO
- Oklahoma
- QB 7 Spencer Rattler RFR
- WR-Z/ PR 17 Marvin Mims FR *
- RB 29 Rhamondre Stevenson TRSR
- RB 1 Seth McGowan FR
- FB/HB Jeremiah Hall JR *
- OL Creed Humphrey JR **
- PK Gabe Brkic RSO *
- DE 7 Ronnie Perkins JR *
- DT 95 Isaiah Thomas RJR *
- NT 8 Perrion Winfrey JR *
- DB 6 Tre Brown SR * [OPT OUT] --> Jaden Davis SO/ Woodi Washington FR
- QB 7 Spencer Rattler RFR
Florida's season to this point:
- at Ole Miss 51-35 (Trask 416, Toney 55)
- South Carolina 38-24 (Trask 268, Pierce 51)
- at 21 Texas A&M 38-41 (Trask 312, Wright 31)
- Missouri 41-17 (Trask 345, Trask 47)
- 5 Georgia 44-28 (Trask 474, Pierce 52)
- Arkansas 63-35 (Trask 356, Pierce 69)
- at Vandy 38-17 (Trask 383, Pierce 55)
- Kentucky 34-10 (Trask 256, Pierce 67)
- at Tennessee 31-19 (Trask 433, Copeland 17)
- LSU 34-37 (Trask 474, Davis 81)
- 1 Alabama 46-52 (Trask 408, Jones 24)
Oklahoma's season to this point:
- Miss St, 48-0 (Rattler 290 YD, McGowan 61)
- Kansas St, 35-38 (Rattler 387, McGowan 73)
- at Iowa St, 30-37 (Rattler 300, Pledger 47)
- 22 Texas 53-45 4OT (Rattler 209, Pledger 131)
- at TCU 33-14 (Rattler 332, Pledger 122)
- at Texas Tech 62-28 (Rattler 288, Stevenson 87)
- Kansas 62-9 (Rattler 212, Stevenson 104)
- 14 Oklahoma St 41-13 (Rattler 301, Stevenson 141)
- Baylor 27-14 (Rattler 193, Stevenson 50)
- 6 Iowa St 27-21 (Rattler 272, Stevenson 97)
Based on conference-only performance these teams are hard to predict, but the model predicts the following output:
- Florida:
- Passing: FLA 7.4 YPPF/ OKL 6.69 YPPA = 0.91 EPS = 0.91 * 388.4 = 353.1 YDE
- Rushing: FLA 4.04 YPCF/ OKL 3.06 YPRA = 0.76 ERS = 0.76 * 120.5 = 91.6 YDE
- Scoring: FLA 41.6 PPGF/ OKL 21.9 PPGA = 0.53 ESS = 0.53 * 41.6 = 21.9 PE
- Oklahoma
- Passing: OKL 6.65 YPPF/ FLA 7.62 YPPA = 1.15 EPS = 1.15 * 475.8 = 545.2 YDE
- Rushing: OKL 4.07 YPC/ FLA 3.94 YPR = 0.97 ERS = 149.3 YDE
- Scoring: OKL 41.8 PPGF/ FLA 28.64 PPGA = 0.69 ESS = 28.64 PE