It is safe to say that my predictions for this game are way off.
Not mine, as far as outcome—not really.It is safe to say that my predictions for this game are way off.
From LSU onward...Down, down, downA rough way to end the season. A repeat of 1999 and 2015.
Honestly, I am okay with the decision to play. The coward's way out would be to use COVID as a way to avoid a loss. It sucks for the Gator fans who have to live with the embarrassment of losing on national television, but in the end it was the athletes who benefited from playing one more game. If I were Dan Mullen I would have done one thing differently: tell Kyle Trask that he gets 1 series to start the game before handing the reigns of the team over to Emory Jones.
I’m laughing—to take a break from GNASHING MY TEETH!
That is I THINK “I agree”...I sure as hell HOPE you are right, E—, or 2021 COULD turn out to be a floundering search to REfind ourselves after all!Try not to look too deep into this loss. I figured Shorter, Fraziars, and Weston would step up, but this obviously was not the case. The Gators did not use all of the available receivers and running backs for some reason. Yes, it was embarrassing, but this team will look nothing like this next year. As ugly as the loss was, this was the Gators’ second team receiving corps and defensive secondary against Oklahoma’s first team everything. Trask had the worst game of his career due to lack of practice with these receivers. Fraziars and Weston had their first receptions in this game. Henderson and Shorter showed why they were the backups, but both showed they could perform better with practice. Zipperer and Gamble had really bad days. The only other tight ends available had already been converted to defensive linemen. There certainly is room for debate on the coaching decisions. It appeared that the coaches were lackadaisical with game prep, or maybe they just were exhausted from the continuous grind of the SEC schedule. In the end these are all excuses, but I will be the one in the minority who will write this loss as a casualty of 2020 and not as a sign for 2021.
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Yes, when you break it down and lay it all out in detail, complete with close scrutiny and analysis of the various QBs’ and receivers’ strengths, weaknesses, relative amounts of experience and “what they bring with them to the field at this level” overall, I begin to see that we don’t HAVE to just “HOPE” it adds up to something: Given the time, work and process already begun with this game’s prep, time with Mullen and getting past the shock of the much greater SPEED-OF-THE-GAME at this level hitting them in the FACE for the first time, and everything that will now be POURING IN, ON AND OVER THEM day-by-day, moment-by-moment as they are immersed in it in the coming months, well, it’s “sink or SWIM” now, boys... If Coach has recruited as well as he has intended, it WILL bear results!Honestly, I am okay with the decision to play. The coward's way out would be to use COVID as a way to avoid a loss. It sucks for the Gator fans who have to live with the embarrassment of losing on national television, but in the end it was the athletes who benefited from playing one more game. If I were Dan Mullen I would have done one thing differently: tell Kyle Trask that he gets 1 series to start the game before handing the reigns of the team over to Emory Jones.
I have a theory on why Trask had a bad day: the offense is different when Trask is at QB compared to when Jones is at QB. The combination of Trask, Pitts, Grimes, Toney, and Copeland have worked out their timing over 2-3 years, with the last 2 years being a "Gator Raid" offense. That Gator Raid is not what the other receivers were recruited for or not what they have been practicing with. Justin Shorter and Xzavier Henderson do not run the clean routes necessary for a Gator Raid, so they are not at the position where Kyle Trask expects them to be...and then they let the ball bounce out of their hands (maybe that can be fixed with more practice). Ja'Quavion Fraziers and Ja'Markus Weston had their very first receptions, and they also struggled with routes (and securing the catch), but they were recruited to run the more run-oriented, zone-read/RPO-based Mullen offense (which has morphed significantly from the old Utah Spread that he used with Urban Meyer at Bowling Green, Utah, and Florida). The reason that Emory Jones had better luck with completing some of those passes is that his completions came with "inside passes" done with a simple zone read / RPO where the receiver was not running a complicated route (basically the old Utah Spread with RPOs added from Mississippi State). The Gators were so shorthanded at receiver that defensive back Trey Dean III ran a few routes, which can work in a simple offense like the Utah/Mississippi State Spread. The Gator Raid offense that was molded around Kyle Trask was much more complicated for the QB and the wide receivers, and Pitts, Grimes, Toney, and Copeland had all worked out the complexity of those Gator Raid plays over 2-3 years. The Utah/Mississippi State Spread is less about timing and more about creating mismatches, so it can be used with newer receivers.
Here is a breakdown of Emory's successful passing plays using the Utah/Mississippi State Spread:
Here is Anthony Richardson's passing play (this could be a spread play or a Gator Raid play...too hard to tell off one play):
- 1Q 6:46 E. Jones 25 YD to WR Trent Whittemore (out route to left sideline, zone read)
- 2Q 12:20 E. Jones 18 YD to RB Dameon Pierce (screen play, zone read)
- 2Q 9:57 E. Jones 5 YD to WR Rick Wells (hitch, zone read)
- 2Q 9:28 E. Jones 12 YD to WR Xzavier Henderson (slant?, zone read)
- 2Q 8:29 E. Jones 13 YD to WR Rick Wells (flag or hitch?, zone read)
- 3Q 1:15 E. Jones 9 YD to RB Malik Davis (screen play, zone read)
- 3Q 14:24 E. Jones 4 YD to RB Nay'Quan Wright (screen play, zone read)
- 3Q 14:12 E. Jones 0 YD to WR Rick Wells (hitch, zone read)
The summary of that is with Emory Jones in the game, the entire offense is different from the offense with Kyle Trask in. This group of receivers looked more comfortable with Emory Jones because the plays were simpler, Utah Spread-like plays. When Kyle Trask entered the game, the receivers could not run the routes with the precision necessary to run the Gator Raid.
- 4Q 3:18 A. Richardson 27 YD to WR Jordan Pouncey for TD (post, multi-read)
I think the offense we see in 2021 will look a lot more like the old Utah Spread, but with a lot more RPOs instead of pure zone reads. Then again, if Emory Jones can work out some Trask-like timing with Copeland, Henderson, Shorter, Pouncey, Whittemore, Fraziars, and Weston then this offense can be a potent "Gator Raid" again, if that is what Brian Johnson and Dan Mullen want. I think that with Emory Jones and Anthony Richardson it makes sense to run two different types of offense as a way to throw off the defenses. Maybe the following year when Jones graduates, Richardson can take over and not have to swap out with Jones because he is a capable of running both the Utah Spread and the Gator Raid.