BTW, I just read that G-ville Sun column about how Jernigan's coach said the kid (and by this evidence that's exactly what he must be--a petulant child) "felt betrayed by Florida" when both the head coach and other Gator coaches who had been courting him suddenly left the program--and he held this against Muschamp and Co. BECAUSE they were from UF, the school that had "deceived" him. Never mind that he had supposedly been a lifelong Gator fan who grew up 30 miles from the campus. Never mind that Muschamp obviously had NOTHING to do with the original "betrayal"--as his highschool coach says he kept trying to remind Jernigan of. Oh, and never mind that in the interim he apparently said nothing of this to anyone outside his own tight little circle, not to Muschamp or the other new staff who warmly and enthusiastically came to visit, pursued him vigorously into the last days of recruiting; he gave no word or indication of his deep negative feelings or decision against them, gave them no chance to address this problem directly or even a basic courtesy "heads-up" that they were wasting valuable time on him down the stretch, if he felt THAT strongly about it.
I'm not even going to bother trying to analyze what was and/or is going through the young man's "mind", what his true motivations might have been. He's likely not clear on any of that himself.
Two things do occur to me here. The first applies specifically to this particular "miss": it is impossible to say either what might have happened if Meyer hadn't resigned (would Jernigan have found some OTHER reason to bail? There HAD to be a LOT going on in his confused head already), or, if Jernigan had stayed (with or without Meyer, would he/will he turn out to be a flake? One way or another, we may have lost this kid sooner or later, one way or another...there may be more to Muschamp's claim that he "just wants to concentrate on the players who want to be Gators" than brave words). Anyway, future star or headcase, he ain't ours to worry about now.
The other thing this really points up is the general arbitrary and "shot-in-the-dark" nature of this whole recruiting business, especially any effort to precisely quantify it's "ranking" and the relative specific superiority of the fruits of one effort over another. Human nature, the competitive sports-mentality, and the very structure and reality of the media circus that surrounds, follows and depends upon it pretty well DEMANDS that the effort is made, though--but it doesn't change the fact that a million nuances of human behavior, emotion, history and attitude, only a tiny fraction of which can even be known by any of the so-called "experts", determine the various actual outcomes.
This applies to who goes where, and even more to how good or bad a particular career turns out, OR a particular class. It is, to all intents and purposes, a "chaotic system", whose outcomes are almost completely unpredictable until just as they are in the process of occurring.
The best a coach and his staff can do is do their homework, do the legwork, then go with their "guts" in the clutch. Stay true to your plan, don't violate your sense of honor, and the rest will take care of itself...let the chips fall where they may, basically. With a restrictive set of circumstances and a limited amount of time I think our Head Coach and his new staff held to the above about as well as possible, and got about the best results they could have, all things considered. This is a solid class, a good strong start--and recruiting-wise just a prelude to what they'll accomplish in the future, starting next year. Meanwhile, we've got plenty to feel good about and a leg up on what this Gator team can and will be in coming seasons.