Overview
The #18 Florida Gators host the USF Bulls in another rainy monsoon Saturday at the Swamp. This game is the first of two in the 2-for-1 butt-whooping that the Gators promised in return for the 42-20 ***-whooping we gave them in 2021 when we bombed them on 9/11/2021. The Gators are favored by 24 and the over/under is 60. I predict a lower scoring affair as heralded Gator QB Anthony Richardson gets his mind right for the rest of the season. Last year the Gators out-gained the Bulls 666 YD to 297 with 303 YD passing and 363 YD rushing. They did toss 2 INT and commit 4 penalties for 45 yards. The Gators should prevail 32-10 once the offense figures out what went wrong against Kentucky.
Keys to the Game
There are not enough words to describe how lame the USF Bulls are, and if were not for the complete self-immolation job that the Gators did last week we would be talking about a 55-10 victory. Alas, that is not where the Gators are this week as they lick their wounds from last week's butt-whooping where they were in control of the game until right before the end of the first half. The key to this game will be between the ears of the Gator athletes. They can choose to learn from the loss to Kentucky or they can sulk and feel sorry for themselves. The Bulls are 1-1 and coming off a 42-20 victory over cupcake Howard University and a 21-50 loss to #25 BYU. In the loss to ranked BYU, USF could not throw deep and averaged 5.7 YPP to BYU's 8.2. Their running game was not much better as they rushed for 4.0 YPC compared to BYU's 8.4. Florida's rushing attack is far better than BYU's, and even in the mental state the offense is in I would say it is better than BYU's. Both QBs are coming off the worst performances of their careers with QBRs under 10.0 and passer ratings under 100.0.
Key Personnel
The Gators clearly have the advantage with offensive personnel.
The Gators also have the advantage on defense, even if the stats on paper do not prove this out. Give credit to the Bulls for forcing 3 fumbles, which is something the Gator defense has not been successful in doing lately.
Summary
As long as the Gators get the right mindset, they should perform similarly as they did last year but with a lower score of 32-10, and probably not with as many yards. Assuming the Gators are about as good as BYU right now, the Gators could still eclipse 550 yards and keep USF under 300. I assume that in this game Napier will slow things down for the offense and defense, which could lead to a slow, grinding game.
The #18 Florida Gators host the USF Bulls in another rainy monsoon Saturday at the Swamp. This game is the first of two in the 2-for-1 butt-whooping that the Gators promised in return for the 42-20 ***-whooping we gave them in 2021 when we bombed them on 9/11/2021. The Gators are favored by 24 and the over/under is 60. I predict a lower scoring affair as heralded Gator QB Anthony Richardson gets his mind right for the rest of the season. Last year the Gators out-gained the Bulls 666 YD to 297 with 303 YD passing and 363 YD rushing. They did toss 2 INT and commit 4 penalties for 45 yards. The Gators should prevail 32-10 once the offense figures out what went wrong against Kentucky.
Keys to the Game
There are not enough words to describe how lame the USF Bulls are, and if were not for the complete self-immolation job that the Gators did last week we would be talking about a 55-10 victory. Alas, that is not where the Gators are this week as they lick their wounds from last week's butt-whooping where they were in control of the game until right before the end of the first half. The key to this game will be between the ears of the Gator athletes. They can choose to learn from the loss to Kentucky or they can sulk and feel sorry for themselves. The Bulls are 1-1 and coming off a 42-20 victory over cupcake Howard University and a 21-50 loss to #25 BYU. In the loss to ranked BYU, USF could not throw deep and averaged 5.7 YPP to BYU's 8.2. Their running game was not much better as they rushed for 4.0 YPC compared to BYU's 8.4. Florida's rushing attack is far better than BYU's, and even in the mental state the offense is in I would say it is better than BYU's. Both QBs are coming off the worst performances of their careers with QBRs under 10.0 and passer ratings under 100.0.
| Team Stats | USF | Florida |
|---|---|---|
| PPG/F | 31.5 | 22.5 |
| PPG/A | 35.0 | 26.0 |
| TOT YD/F | 351.5 | 365.0 |
| TOT YD/F PASS | 195.5 | 155.5 |
| TOT YD/F RUSH | 156.0 | 209.5 |
| TOT YD/A | 495.5 | 359.0 |
| TOT YD/A PASS | 255.5 | 209.0 |
| TOT YD/A RUSH | 240.0 | 150.0 |
Key Personnel
The Gators clearly have the advantage with offensive personnel.
| USF | Florida |
|---|---|
| TrJR (Baylor) QB G. Bohanon Earle, Arkansas 34/58 391 YD 0 TD 2 INT 108.3 RAT 23.3 QBR | So QB A. Richardson Gainesville, Florida 31/59 311 YD 0 TD 2 INT 90.0 RAT 51.7 QBR |
| So RB B. Battie Sarasota, Florida 10 ATT 119 YD 2 TD | TrSo RB (Louisiana) M. Johnson Jr. New Orleans, Louisiana 19 ATT 137 YD 1 TD |
| Jr WR X. Weaver Orlando, Florida 12 REC 170 YD 0 TD | TrJr (Arizona State) WR R. Pearsall Chandler, Arizona 6 REC 106 YD 0 TD |
The Gators also have the advantage on defense, even if the stats on paper do not prove this out. Give credit to the Bulls for forcing 3 fumbles, which is something the Gator defense has not been successful in doing lately.
| USF | Florida |
|---|---|
| DB Mekhi LaPointe 12 SOLO 2 AST 1 INT | S Trey Dean III 10 SOLO 11 AST 0.5 SCK 1.0 PD |
| LB DJ Gordon IV 8 SOLO 4 AST | LB/JACK Brenton Cox 3 SOLO 9 AST 0.0 SCK 0.0 PD |
| LB Dwayne Boyles 9 SOLO 3 AST | DL/EDGE Gervon Dexter 5 SOLO 7 AST 0.5 SCK 1.0 PD 1.0 INT |
| DB Jayden Curry 6 SOLO 4 AST 1 INT | STAR/ LB Amari Burney 3 SOLO 4 AST 1 SCK 1 INT |
| DE Tramel Logan 7 SOLO 2 AST 1 PD | CB Jason Marshall 2 SOLO 1 AST 1.0 PD |
Summary
As long as the Gators get the right mindset, they should perform similarly as they did last year but with a lower score of 32-10, and probably not with as many yards. Assuming the Gators are about as good as BYU right now, the Gators could still eclipse 550 yards and keep USF under 300. I assume that in this game Napier will slow things down for the offense and defense, which could lead to a slow, grinding game.
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